On the last day of March 2019, Ukraine will be shocked by the most important political event - the presidential election will begin. Where the state ship will go, whether it turns its bow or stern toward Russia, will depend on a single person.
Present to your attention list of candidates for the presidency of Ukraine 2019, the candidate rating is based on data from the 3 most authoritative sources:
- data from the February poll of the Kiev International Institute of Sociology (KIIS), in which 2042 voters from all regions of Ukraine participated;
- data from the February survey of the Sotsis Center for Social and Marketing Research with the participation of 2,000 Ukrainians (except for residents of Donetsk and Lugansk regions);
- data from a February survey of Blue Dawn Monitoring (BDM) with 2074 respondents (except those living in the Donbass).
As additional data, we give 3 more sources:
- February survey of the Institute of Social Technology "Sociopolis" (SP);
- sociological research of the public organization “Advanced Legal Initiatives” (PPI), 46,227 people were interviewed;
- sociological service “Razumkov Center” (CR), 2016 respondents were interviewed.
For obvious reasons, a survey of residents of the Crimea was also not conducted.
| № | Candidate | KIIS | Social | Bdm | Joint venture | PPI | Tsr | Wed value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zelensky | 26.4% | 23.8% | 20% | 25.1% | 30.59% | 19% | 24.14% |
| 2 | Poroshenko | 18% | 20.3% | 12% | 14.6% | 15.37% | 16.8% | 16.17% |
| 3 | Tymoshenko | 13.8% | 15.9% | 17.8% | 15.4% | 15.02% | 13.8% | 15.28% |
| 4 | Smartly | 10.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 10.45% | 7.1% | 9.44% |
| 5 | Gritsenko | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.88% | 7.3% | 6.74% |
| 6 | Lyashko | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.16% |
| 7 | Garden | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.16% | 2.2% | 2.86% |
| 8 | Vilkul | 3.1% | 1.3% | 5.7% | 2% | 2.35% | 1.8% | 2.70% |
| 9 | Muraev | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.65% | 1.7% | 2.22% |
| 10 | Shevchenko | 1.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.75% | 1.6% | 2.52% |
10. Shevchenko Alexander
- KIIS: 1.1%;
- Social: 4.1%;
- Blue Dawn: 4.8%.
Opens the top 10 positions in the rating of candidates for the presidency of Ukraine for today, Alexander Shevchenko, a nominee from the UKROP party. This is not an association of gardeners and gardeners, the name of the party is an abbreviation for “Ukrainian Association of Patriots”.
The main goal of UKROP is the fight against corruption. In addition to the struggle for the presidency, Shevchenko also has other goals - he is looking for a new wife. Those who wish to make a possible president happy can fill out a questionnaire on the candidate’s official website. However, judging by opinion polls, Ukrainians, both female and male, are not impressed with this candidate.
9. Muraev Eugene
- KIIS: 1.2%.
- Social: 1.6%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 4.5%.
One of the rare Ukrainian politicians who negatively assesses the influence of Washington and the IMF on the economic situation in the country. They even used such a harsh word as "genocide."
However, it is difficult to call it pro-Russian either, since Eugene believes that only non-aligned status can be the key to the prosperity of Ukraine.
8. Vilkul Alexander
- KIIS: 3.1%.
- Social: 1.3%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 5.7%.
Another independent candidate speaks on behalf of the Peace and Development Party. He believes that the situation in Ukraine can be improved by adopting a new constitution and ensuring economic growth.
Vilkul has a lot of managerial experience in the piggy bank; in the team of Viktor Yanukovych, he served as vice prime minister. Unlike most candidates for the presidency of Ukraine, he is ready to engage in dialogue with Russia, and not categorically consider it an aggressor country.
7. Sadovy Andrey
- KIIS: 2.4%.
- Social: 3.2%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 3.9%.
The mayor of the city of Lviv, who loves to show his attitude to the protests of citizens through the demonstration of his middle finger, takes a place near the end in the ratings. The maximum number of people wishing to vote for him does not exceed 3.9%.
Sadovy takes a pro-Western position, and believes that the key to Ukraine’s national stability is close cooperation with NATO and the deployment of contract troops and military equipment on the border with Russia.
6. Lyashko Oleg
- KIIS: 6.3%.
- Social: 5.5%
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 8.6%.
And now we move on to more serious candidates who do not grab popularity stars from the sky, but are steadily holding on to the second three, right behind the leading players in the political scene. The first of them is Oleg Lyashko, who, according to various versions, collected from 4.8 to 8.6% of the votes of the respondents. He is the head of the radical party named after himself (The Radical Party of Oleg Lyashko) and loves to act provocatively. For this, some even call him "Ukrainian Zhirinovsky."
He hopes to enter the political Olympus by playing a poverty alleviation card. The politician promises to reduce taxes and magically create a middle class in Ukraine.
5. Gritsenko Anatoly
- KIIS: 6.4%.
- Social: 6.6%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 7.16%.
This person is not new to the race. He has already put forward his candidacy three times, and all three times he did not achieve what he desired.
The fourth time is also unlikely to be magical, judging by the ratings. Gritsenko hopes to increase his chances by teaming up with the seventh place in the rating, Andrei Sadov, but he still does not want to merge into a political embrace.
4. Boyko Yuri
- KIIS: 10.9%.
- Social: 11.5%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 6.4%.
This candidate has a long political career. He managed to visit both the Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine and already three times as Minister of Energy. Boyko is a politician of the old school who represents the post-Soviet oil and gas elite of the country with all its advantages and disadvantages, including the pro-Russian position.
He hopes to achieve peace in the Donbass, reduce military spending in the budget, and give the freed up money to social needs. The politician also plans to prevent the increase in gas prices, as the IMF wants.
3. Tymoshenko Julia
- KIIS: 13.8%.
- Social: 15.9%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 17.8%.
In third place (and according to Blue Dawn - in second) is the owner of a memorable hairstyle Yulia Tymoshenko. Currently, she sharply criticizes the current government, and several hours ago even initiated the impeachment of Poroshenko as a traitor to the ideals of a free Ukraine. People close to the president were in charge of smuggling spare parts for the Ukrainian army. Moreover, they sold them at exorbitant prices (margin reached 300%).
Both Poroshenko and Tymoshenko go almost head to head, and the difference between them is about 5%. But at the same time, serious passions rage, and the political struggle between second and third places in the ranking of candidates for the presidency of Ukraine in 2019 takes on an increasingly colorful connotation.
2. Poroshenko Petro
- KIIS: 18%.
- Social: 20.3%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 12%.
Most polls give the current head of the country Petro Poroshenko the second place in the ratings of candidates for the presidency of Ukraine in 2019. Poroshenko has many reasons for the fall in popularity, but most of all his rating goes down when the hryvnia is getting cheaper and gas is getting more expensive. It is during such months (for example, last fall) that Poroshenko leads the “anti-rating”.
In addition to the much thinner wallet of ordinary Ukrainians, the “chocolate king” was ruined by an offshore story (when several companies were opened under his name in a tax-free zone), as well as the New Year’s scandal when journalists learned how much Ukraine cost a ten-day presidential vacation in the Maldives .
Not to mention the fact that Poroshenko did not fulfill most of his campaign promises, for example, to sell the Roshen business empire and terminate the ATO in the Donbas in a short time.
1. Zelensky Vladimir
- KIIS: 26.4%.
- Social: 23.8%.
- Blue Dawn Monitoring: 20%.
All ratings and polls of Ukrainians agree on one thing - the undisputed leader of the presidential race is Vladimir Zelensky, the head of Studio 95. The differences are only in the number of percentages by which the current favorite is ahead of the second candidate (be it Poroshenko or Tymoshenko).
It seems that the laurels of Ronald Reagan, the first president-actor on the world stage, do not give Zelensky peace. Just a couple of minutes before the fight, the clock marking the border between the past year and the current year, the showman announced on television his political ambitions. And the party “Servant of the People”, from which Vladimir was nominated, decided to turn the election race into a real political show, broadcast through social networks and its own video blog.
Interestingly, the name of the party completely coincides with the satirical series on the topic of elections, which Zelensky shot (and played the main role in it).
